LodgingPacking & PreparationTransportationTravel DestinationsTravel Packages & Tours

Average Caribbean Weather: Best and Worst Times to Go

Updated on April 24, 2017
promisem profile image

Scott Bateman is a professional journalist who has traveled extensively throughout the Caribbean.

Hurricane Iris, 2001
Hurricane Iris, 2001 | Source

Do You Prefer Sunshine or Hurricanes?

Weather in the Caribbean can give visitors a beautiful experience or a disaster that is best forgotten. It mainly depends on when you go.

Average Caribbean daytime temperatures are in the mid-80s Fahrenheit for most destinations. That average varies by only a few degrees each month. But nothing is average or predictable about the rainfall.

To decide when to go to the Caribbean and avoid most of the rain, visitors need to know what to expect from the annual hurricane season. It officially runs from June 1 through November 30 each year.

6 Quick Climate Tips

  1. Aruba, Bonaire, and Curaçao have the least rain.
  2. April, June, and July have the best combination of warm temperatures and low rainfall.
  3. May brings with it a brief rainy season in many places.
  4. September and October are the worst months to go, because of the risk of tropical storms or hurricanes.
  5. From December through February, stick with southern destinations such as Antigua, Barbados, and St. Lucia.
  6. The best time to visit almost any island in the Caribbean is January through April.

Best Times to Visit

The best time to visit most islands in the Caribbean is January through April because of comfortable temperatures and low risk of rain.

Seawater is often cool for swimming in January and February, especially in the mornings. So those months are ideal for people who like land activities and excursions.

Tourists who like water activities such as swimming, snorkeling and laying on beaches may want to go in March and April for warmer temperatures.

Although May is even warmer than April, it also has a higher risk of rain for some destinations. For example, historical data shows that Grand Cayman averages two inches of rain in April but six inches in May, according to the National Meteorological Service of the Cayman Islands.

Then the Caribbean hurricane season begins in June.

Average Caribbean Rainfall by Month

The above chart shows the average inches of rain per month for major destinations. Data source: island meteorological services. Graphic copyright Scott Bateman
The above chart shows the average inches of rain per month for major destinations. Data source: island meteorological services. Graphic copyright Scott Bateman

Hurricane Season

The Caribbean is known for a rainy season that brings tropical storms and hurricanes. Some islands can get hit especially hard with rain and heavy winds.

During late spring, summer, and fall, tropical storms often form in the Atlantic, off the African continent, and move west toward the Caribbean.

As they approach the Americas, they tend to swerve to the right, and follow various paths over the Caribbean or the Gulf, often reaching the Eastern US and even Canada or Europe.

Historical Paths of Atlantic Hurricanes

This charts shows the history of category 3 or higher hurricanes in the North Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific.
This charts shows the history of category 3 or higher hurricanes in the North Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific. | Source

Once formed, a storm moving over warm water can grow into a hurricane in a matter of days.

On the average (some years are much more productive) the Caribbean hurricane season has about 12 to 15 major storms each year, and about four or five develop into hurricanes.

A hurricane can drop back in intensity to a storm again for a few days before fading away.

Tropical weather in the Atlantic is closely watched, and Caribbean weather forecasts are fairly reliable because the weather follows a predictable set of patterns.

The season starts slowly, builds over early summer, and doesn't peak until early September. The storm and hurricane threat is why the fewest number of people vacation in the Caribbean in September.

Hurricane Season Peaks in September

This chart shows historical storm and hurricane activity in the Caribbean and Atlantic by month. Note how it peaks in September and October.
This chart shows historical storm and hurricane activity in the Caribbean and Atlantic by month. Note how it peaks in September and October. | Source

Average Caribbean Weather, Month-By-Month

January

Caribbean weather in January is certainly warmer than the U.S., Canada, or Europe, but some places are warmer than others. The warmest destinations include Cayman Islands and St. Lucia; the coolest include the Bahamas, Dominican Republic, and Turks and Caicos. Rain averages about two to three inches per month. Keep in mind that sea temperatures is often cool for swimming in northern locations.

February

Temperatures in February show little movement. In some places they increase a degree while in others they decline. In Dominica, rainfall increases to four inches. Costa Rica reaches a low point for rain, which is good news for western Caribbean cruises.

March

March is one of the most popular months for visiting the Caribbean, not just because of spring break, but because of warming temperatures and low rainfall for many destinations. In Dominica, rainfall climbs again to five inches, but keep in mind that Dominica is a lush island with waterfalls and tropical rain forests. It's a great place for ecotourism, though not so much for lying on a beach. Costa Rica continues to have low rainfall.

March is one of the most popular months for visiting the Caribbean, not just because of spring break, but because of warming temperatures and low rainfall

April

April is another great month to visit the Caribbean, for the same reasons as March, but with some exceptions. In San Juan, Puerto Rico, rainfall reaches its first high point of the year at six inches. It's not the best time for a long-term stay, but it's okay for cruise visitors, who can visit indoors San Juan historical sites and shopping.

May

Caribbean weather in May includes a brief rainy season for many destinations. Aruba is a safe bet because it is the driest island of all. Rainfall at Cancun, Cayman Islands, Costa Rica, and Dominica jumps to five inches or more per month.

June

This is a bad month for the Bahamas, with an average of nine inches of rain. Cozumel gets eight inches, while Belize and Costa Rica average more than 10. For people who like hot weather, Cancun, Cayman Islands, and Cozumel have average high temperatures that reach 90 degrees Fahrenheit.

June is the official beginning of the annual Caribbean hurricane season. But historically it almost no hurricanes and only one tropical storm every other year, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center.

Tropical storms often threaten the Caribbean during hurricane season from June through November.
Tropical storms often threaten the Caribbean during hurricane season from June through November. | Source

July

Hurricane season is starting to make itself known, with six inches or more of rainfall for the Bahamas, Barbados, the Cayman Islands, and St. Lucia. It's a good month for Antigua, Cancun, the Dominican Republic, Jamaica, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. July averages three tropical storms with two that become hurricanes.

August

"Ugh" is a good word to describe rainfall for the Bahamas and Cancun. Every major destination except for the ABC islands of Aruba, Bonaire, and Curaçao averages four inches or more. On average, August has three tropical storms with two that become hurricanes.

September

September is the worst month of the year for Caribbean weather because it’s the worst month of the annual hurricane season. An average of four tropical storms occur in September with two that become hurricanes. Avoid Caribbean destinations, except possibly the ABC islands—Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao—and maybe the Dominican Republic. But at least September is warm.

September is the worst month of the year for Caribbean weather because it’s the worst month of the annual hurricane season.

October

October is barely better than September, usually the second worst month of the year for Caribbean weather. All of the major destinations average five inches or more of rain. On average, four tropical storms develop, but they rarely grow into hurricanes.

November

The Bahamas finally get a break from the rain and wind, but the temperatures are starting to drop too. Barbados, Cancun, and Jamaica are becoming better options. St. Maarten has the heaviest rain of the year. On average, only one tropical storm forms every other year. Hurricanes are rare.

December

The hurricane season is officially over and rainfall declines everywhere. But temperatures are declining as well; the Bahamas, Cancun, and other northern destinations are usually too chilly for swimming. Dominican Republic and St. Thomas are worthy options. Tourist activity starts to increase in the Caribbean as northerners start to flee cold winter weather.

Most storms are brief and passing.
Most storms are brief and passing. | Source

The Best Time to Go to the Caribbean

When is your favorite time to go?

See results

Caribbean Temperatures By Month

What most people consider the Caribbean ranges from the Bahamas in the north to Aruba, Barbados and Trinidad in the south. The total distance is more than 1,000 miles.

Average Caribbean temperatures in the daytime usually are in the mid to upper 80s Fahrenheit for most destinations throughout the year, except for the Bahamas, which fall into the 70s during the winter. A few locations such as Cozumel and Grand Cayman see average highs above 90 during the summer.

Nighttime lows drop into the mid to upper 70s. Although winter daytime air temperatures stay warm in most places, winter water temperatures become a bit uncomfortable in places such as Cancun.

Average High Temperatures

Location
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Antigua
82
82
83
84
85
86
87
87
87
86
85
83
Aruba
86
87
87
88
89
90
89
90
91
90
90
87
Bahamas
77
77
79
82
85
87
89
89
88
85
82
79
Barbados
83
83
84
85
86
86
86
86
86
86
85
84
Belize
82
82
85
87
89
88
88
88
87
86
84
82
Bermuda
69
68
69
71
75
81
85
86
84
79
75
71
Cancun
82
83
85
88
90
91
92
92
90
87
85
82
Cayman Is
87
86
87
89
90
91
91
91
91
91
90
87
Costa Rica
83
75
77
78
79
78
76
77
78
77
75
74
Cozumel
83
84
87
89
90
90
90
91
89
87
85
83
Curacao
85
86
86
88
88
89
89
90
90
89
88
86
Dominica
82
82
83
84
85
86
86
86
86
84
85
83
Dominican Rep.
81
81
82
83
85
86
86
87
87
86
84
82
Havana
78
79
81
83
85
86
88
88
87
84
81
79
Honduras
78
81
85
86
86
83
82
83
83
81
78
77
Guadeloupe
84
84
84
86
87
88
88
88
88
88
86
85
Jamaica
82
82
83
85
86
87
88
88
88
86
85
83
Martinique
82
83
83
85
86
86
86
86
87
86
85
84
San Juan
83
83
84
85
87
88
88
88
88
88
85
83
St. Lucia
87
83
84
85
87
87
86
87
87
87
86
84
St. Maarten
82
83
83
85
86
86
86
86
87
86
85
84
St. Thomas
85
85
86
87
88
89
90
90
90
89
87
86
Trinidad
87
88
90
91
91
88
88
89
90
90
88
88
The above chart shows average high temperatures by month for many major destinations.
Rain bands from a tropical storm can spread out over a large area.
Rain bands from a tropical storm can spread out over a large area. | Source

How Weather Affects Cruises and Stopovers

Climate in the Caribbean may pose less of a problem for cruise visitors than for stopover visitors.

Ships can steer away from bad weather, although they may not avoid it entirely. At least cruise staff can deal with rough seas. Passengers can wear motion-sickness patches and adjust their diet to settle upset stomachs.

People who plan a cruise will find it useful to consider the following weather tips:

  • Late spring to mid-summer has the best Caribbean cruise weather, but it's also the most popular time to go.
  • Winter is a good time for southern destinations such as Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao.
  • The western Caribbean is rainy in early fall, especially in Cozumel and the Central American nations that line the Caribbean coast.
  • In the eastern Caribbean, weather is cool during the winter in northern destinations such as the Bahamas.

Stopover visitors—people who stay on an island for a week or so—face a greater risk of a tropical storm or even a full-fledged hurricane making landfall. Vactioners can’t really predict the weather a week in advance; two or three days out is more realistic.

No destination is particularly likely to lie right in the path of disaster from a storm or hurricane. But storms and hurricanes that pass through the region affect islands and coastlines over large areas. A tropical storm can dump large amounts of rain even at its outer edges.

One way to avoid getting entangled in a tropical storm is simply to stay away from the Caribbean, and especially the islands most likely to be hit, during September and October in particular. Another way of preparing for the possibility is to buy travel insurance.

© 2011 Scott Bateman

Comments

    0 of 8192 characters used
    Post Comment

    • profile image

      lexie 19 hours ago

      Hi i just booked a cruise for then end of june and it goes to nassau, st kits, and st martenn. do you think that the waves will be pretty rough? thank you!

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 4 days ago

      Hi, KTates. Punta Cana averages 4.5 inches of rain and a high temperature of 85 degrees Fahrenheit in November. Cancun averages 5 inches of rain and 85 as well. For St. Maarten, it's 6 inches and 86 degrees.

      All three destinations have a higher rainfall than usual in November. It looks like Punta Cana is a slightly better choice.

    • profile image

      KTates 4 days ago

      Hi Scott,

      What are my best chances for sunshine and warm temperatures the week before Thanksgiving in November between Cancun, Punta Cana and St. Marteen? Looking to try somewhere new.

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 3 weeks ago

      Hi, Markus. I have to recommend Aruba for the weather because it usually has less rainfall in November than other locations.

      That said, the snorkeling in our experience at Aruba was just OK. Better options are Roatan, Belize, Grand Cayman, Cozumel and some areas around the Virgin Islands. But they also have higher rainfall on average.

    • profile image

      markusfischer 3 weeks ago

      Hi Scott, we are looking to take a family ocean vacation during Thanksgiving. We don't really have a location preference, however, I was hoping you could help determine the best Caribbean location based on the least amount of rainfall/storms, and best snorkeling. The kids are teenagers and all they want to do is snorkel and ocean activities.

      Thank you,

      Markus

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 3 weeks ago

      Hi, Manj. Cancun rainfall in November is usually better than the previous three months but not quite as good as January through April. Over a 30-year period, Cancun has averaged about 4 inches in November and 12 days with rain.

      No one can predict what will happen this November, but your odds of rain are 50/50. The same is true of Cozumel and other Mexican destinations on the Caribbean coast.

      If you want to visit the Caribbean in November, you might get better weather in Aruba. If you really want Cancun and can wait a while, I suggest going in March or April. Best of luck!

    • profile image

      Manj 3 weeks ago

      Hi Scott,

      I am looking to go Cancun (hotel zone area) in November dates 23-30th. is it still high rains in this period? and is it better to avoid mexico in Nov?

      thank you!

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 5 weeks ago

      LORETTA: We just did a similar cruise in December. I suggest land activities in the mornings and beach / water activities in the afternoons for the sake of getting the warmest temperatures. Both Philipsburg and San Juan are great ports for walking around.

      ALI: Any of those months are usually good for low risk of rain. If you plan to snorkel a few times, I would favor the March or April cruises. You might pay more in March if the timing is around spring break for schools.

    • profile image

      Ali 5 weeks ago

      Hi, for a Southern Cruise: Barbados / St Lucia / St Kitts / St Maarten / Puerto Rico / St Thomas - would you recommend January 10th / March 28th or April 4th in terms of best weather?

      I love to snorkel, and looking for least amount of rain!

      Many thanks.

    • profile image

      Loretta 5 weeks ago

      We plan on a cruise late January into early February and the Ports of Call: Philipsburg, St. Maarten • San Juan, Puerto Rico • Labadee (Cruiseline Private Island), any insight would be greatly appreciated

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 7 weeks ago

      Hi, Eleonora. Absolutely! November historically is a better month to take a cruise than September or October. There are no guarantees that you will have great weather, but the odds are better than the previous two months.

      If you haven't booked your cruise yet and have some flexibility on when you go, consider December because it usually has less rain than November.

      Seasickness should not be a problem for two reasons. One is that cruises ships now have stabilizers that do a fine job of keeping the ship level. The other is seasickness patches that also help.

      Best of luck with the weather and enjoy your cruise!

    • profile image

      Eleonora 7 weeks ago

      Hi Scott,

      My husband and I are planning to take a cruise in early November for our 15th aniversary. The cruise we are looking into will start in New Orleans and will visit Cozumel, Belize and Mahogany Bay. I normally get sea sick... would this be a good time for me to take a cruise and enjoy myself?

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 8 weeks ago

      Hi, Ruth. Definitely stay away from Cozumel in October. You might get lucky, but the odds are not good. The Aruba "rainy season" from October through December is not much different than the dry season for many Caribbean islands. Average rainfall during those months is about three inches each. So the chance of rain is higher than normal, but it's much better than everywhere else that time of year. Good luck!

    • profile image

      Ruth 2 months ago

      Hi Scott,

      I really want to surprise my husband with a trip to Cozumel for his 40th bday. His bday is October 5, dang it. I just learned about hurricane season :(. Snorkeling, diving, turtles, Mayan ruins, hiking trails, the quintessential tropical beaches, & neither of us having ever been to Mexico is the reason I choose Cozumel. However, I kinda hate to run the risk of having to cancel the surprise trip and then have nothing on his bday am.

      Reading previous questions it seems that you often recommend Aruba this time of year. Any suggestions for this situation would be greatly appreciated.

      Thank you, Ruth

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 2 months ago

      Hello, Inês! It should be warm in San Juan, St. Maarten and the Bahamas for snorkeling. Yes, the water is very clear.

      The risk of rain is another matter. If you have a choice, I suggest going earlier or later than September because that month has the most rain of the year. If you decide to go anyway, you could end up lucky and get good weather.

    • profile image

      Inês Ngan - ines.ngan@gmail.com 2 months ago

      Hi Scott!

      I am going to San Juan, St Maarten and Bahamas in next September ( 2017 ) .

      Do you think it is safe to get a cruise in Sepetember?

      And the weather? Is is warm? For snorkeling is the sea clear?

      Thanks for your help

      Inês Ngan

    • profile image

      Alison 3 months ago

      Hi Scott,

      My sole purpose in visiting an island in the Caribbean is to go swimming. Could you please suggest an island that has warm/hot beach water for March? I have gone to St. Lucia in January and have been disappointed because the water was cold. I'm also interested in somewhere with less bugs, but the main thing is clear warm water, and white sand beach.

      Do you know where I can find a listing of the beach/sea surface temperatures in the Caribbean?

      Thank yoU!

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 3 months ago

      Hi, Davu. Curacao is part of the same cluster of islands as Aruba. It also has warm temperatures and low risk of rain during the fall months. My next suggestion would be St. Maarten, but the risk of rain there is somewhat higher than Curacao.

    • profile image

      Davu 3 months ago

      Hi, I'm looking for an adult family holiday from sep-nov we have been to aruba in October and it was perfect anywhere else you may think would be hot and less rain?

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 3 months ago

      Hi, Teri. Yes, March is a good time to take a western Caribbean cruise, especially for Belize, which usually gets a lot of rain. Good luck and enjoy your trip!

    • profile image

      Teri 3 months ago

      Hi Scott. My family and I are going on a cruise mid March this year to Grand Cayman, Belize, Mahogany Bay and Cozumel. Is this a good Month for the trip?

      Thanks

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 3 months ago

      JENNIFER - If you are getting married in October and want to go to the Caribbean, I recommend Aruba rather than St. Lucia.

      No one can predict the weather for certain this far out, but St. Lucia usually gets a lot more rain that month than Aruba.

      JANE - Heat is a factor during the day on land, especially in the interior of the island. It is rarely a factor on beaches or in water. We have never had a problem with bugs.

      Anguilla has been our favorite island for beaches and snorkeling, but it's a small and quiet island. You also might look at Cozumel, Grand Cayman and the British Virgin Islands.

    • profile image

      Jane 3 months ago

      What are the best Caribbean Islands for snorkeling and quiet beaches in late July-early August? Also concerned about heat and bugs.

    • profile image

      jennifer 3 months ago

      Hi, I'm trying to plan my honeymoon and would love to go to St. Lucia. We get married in October, but am nervous to about the hurricanes. When would be the best time to go?

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 3 months ago

      Hi, Tiffanie. The water temperatures should be fine for snorkeling, especially in the afternoons.

      It's hard to predict the calmness of the water because weather is a factor. But we have always had calm waters on our snorkeling trips. Even if the sea is a bit rough, excursion boats will look for calmer areas. Have fun!

    • profile image

      Tiffanie Belkin 3 months ago

      Hi. I'm planning a southern Caribbean cruise (St. Thomas, Barbados, St. Kitts, St. Lucia, and St. Maarten) for the end of April. My son and I are hoping to do lots of snorkelling. Do you know what the water temperatures are like at that time of year? Is the water relatively calm? Thanks for your help!

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 4 months ago

      On every trip to the Caribbean when we have experienced rain, it's usually brief and often heavy. You are much more likely to see clouds than rain.

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 4 months ago

      It's good news and bad news. Barbados averages nearly six inches of rain in September -- near the high point of the year. But it's not as bad as some other months. I suggest planning a lot of land activities and take advantage of every hour of good beach time when you get it.

    • profile image

      Hello from KarenF 4 months ago

      Hi there, your article is very informative, thank you. We have booked a holiday in Barbados for the first week in October. I know its the rainy season but historically does it rain all day or does it rain for a short amount of time every day.

    • profile image

      Hello from Serbia 4 months ago

      Hi there i read your article but still have to ask about Barbados on first half of September? I would have to be there so what are the odds to have nice weather? OR should i bring instant shelter with me? Thank you

    • profile image

      Lynn Taylor 4 months ago

      We're doing Southern Carribean Cruise for 12 days on Feb 7-19 2017.. Anthem of the Seas. How will the "seas" be while cruising?? Please don't tell me ROUGH...

      EMAIL: lynntaylor007@gmail.com

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 4 months ago

      TJ, December weather in the Caribbean has a much lower risk of storms than September through November. Of course there are no guarantees, but we had great weather on our recent December trip.

    • profile image

      TJWildy 4 months ago

      Planning a family cruise in December before Christmas to Western Caribbean but I' m worried about the weather especially storms. What are your thoughts?

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 4 months ago

      Wow, Catherine! That sounds like a great trip. Both air and seawater temperatures will be great. Rain may be more of an issue.

      Although it's impossible to predict the weather this far out, my best guess is that you will see less RISK of rain for Aruba, Curacao and Trinida while higher risk for the other islands.

      Luck may be in your favor. We just got back from a December cruise and had warmer weather and less rain than usual. Good luck!

    • profile image

      Catherine 4 months ago

      My husband and I are planning a 14 day Princess Cruise Oct 7-20 to:

      St Thomas, St Maarten, Antigua, Martinique, Barbados, Trindad, Curaçao, Aruba AND St Kitts.

      What are your thoughts or experience as far as weather during this time frame and these islands?

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 5 months ago

      Hello, Milmil. October is usually the second worst month of the year for Caribbean rain. But going at the end of October and into November is better than going in September or early October.

      We just had a similar trip to yours this month in December and had good weather. If you can go later in November or into December, your chance of good weather improves. If you have to go in late October because of family schedules or other reasons, you could get lucky and see good weather. I wish I could be more exact, but it's tough to predict that far out.

    • profile image

      milmil 5 months ago

      I am planning a cruise October 28, 2017 for 12 nights. Ports of call: St. Thomas, Antigua, St. Lucia, St Kits, St. Maarten. Is this a good time to sail to these islands late October? What is the chance of bad weather or hurricane during this time. Do you recommend this time frame?

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 5 months ago

      Hi, Cindy. The warmest Caribbean cruise in March for western or southern depends on the islands.

      For southern, the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao usually have more warmth than St. Lucia, Barbados and Grenada. For western, Cozumel and the Cayman islands will be warmer than Jamaica.

    • profile image

      cindy 5 months ago

      warmest cruise in March? southern or western

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 6 months ago

      Hi, Brie. I'm afraid I can't be optimistic about the water temperatures in the Bahamas during February. We have been to several Caribbean destinations in February including as far south as Aruba and found chilly waters.

      Bahamas temperatures in February usually reach an average high in the upper 70s Fahrenheit, which is good enough for time on the beaches but tough for water temperatures.

      But you might get lucky. Regardless, your best bet for time in the water is mid afternoon when the water reaches its peak temperature.

    • profile image

      Brie 6 months ago

      Hi!

      We have a trip booked for Great Exuma from February 8-16. We are staying on Hoopers Bay to hopefully be sheltered from prevailing winds and waves and also perhaps have warmer water. I have heard so many conflicting things about the Bahamas in February. Do you think we will be able to swim without a wet suit? We are coming from the cold Virginia east coast winter. I have read that people sunbathe all day and I have also read that people spent all day wrapped up in their towel. Obviously I'm hoping for the former. The trip is a done deal, so I guess I'm just looking for some reassurance. Thank you!!

      Brie

    • profile image

      Jen 6 months ago

      I am planning on going to St. Maarten next year. When is the best month to go with the least amount of rain?

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 6 months ago

      Marissa, it's easiiest to predict which islands have the lowest risk of hurricanes. Aruba and Curacao belong at the top of the list.

      The next batch with moderate risk includes Antigua, Barbados, St. Maarten. Jamaica and Dominican Republic. The high-risk group includes Cancun, Cozumel, Dominica, Bahamas, St. Lucia and Martinique.

      Keep in mind that these predictions are based on historical averages and will vary from one year to the next.

    • profile image

      marissa 7 months ago

      which area is mostly at risk with hurricanes in the mid august and mid september

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 7 months ago

      It is much safer in June than July through October. June is officially part of the Caribbean hurricane season, but it has fewer tropical storms than those other months and only a rare hurricane.

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 7 months ago

      Hi, William. If your kids like beaches and swimming, then go to the southern Caribbean either on a cruise or an island such as Aruba, Barbados or St. Lucia. Good luck!

    • profile image

      William Ingram 7 months ago

      I am looking to take a holiday in the Caribbean mid November with my kids any suggestions ?

      Thanks in advance.

    • profile image

      Elvira 7 months ago

      Hello.

      Can you tell me is it safe to go in the beginning of Jun to Jamaica?Hope its not hurricane season.

      Thank you

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 7 months ago

      Unfortunately, no. The Caribbean coast of Mexico gets hit especially hard with rain in October (historically). St. Maarten is a possibility, but it gets more rain than Aruba. You might consider a last-minute vacation based on a short-term weather forecast. That opens up more possibilities.

    • profile image

      Laura 7 months ago

      thank you for Aruba as a recommendation, would you say any part of Mexico has good odds in October? many thanks

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 7 months ago

      Hi, Laura. The best choice in October is Aruba, although you wouldn't know it from the rare tropical storm that is dumping a lot of water on the island this week. But I will take a chance and still recommend it as the best place for a combination of warm weather and low risk of rain.

    • profile image

      Laura 7 months ago

      Hi, we are planning a trip for 4 of us (ladies only!) to the Caribbean for the week of the 21st October 2017, so next year ... which are the best islands to go to for weather and to give us the best possible chance of avoiding a hurricane! Many thanks

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 8 months ago

      It is not likely to rain all of the time. Rain usually hits the Caribbean off and on. When it does rain in October, it tends to rain heavily and over a period of days because of tropical storms and hurricanes. Speaking from experience, your odds of good weather are high. But if you get bad weather, you may get a lot of it.

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 8 months ago

      Hurricane season officially starts June 1, but it starts slowly and doesn't reach a high point until September. So the odds are in your favor. I hope you have great weather!

    • profile image

      Heidi 8 months ago

      Thank you, yes he will be 9, so do you think this is early enough to miss hurricane season as well ? I see reviews where they say it starts june 1st but, then I see where People stated they always go in may and it is wonderful .

      Thanks again

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 8 months ago

      Hello, Heidi. If you son is young and likes to play in the ocean, I recommend late May over April. Seawaters around the Bahamas are a bit cool for swimming in April. Average rainfall increases in May to about four inches during the month, but it is not nearly as bad as June through October.

    • profile image

      Heidi 8 months ago

      Hi promisem, we are wanting to plan a trip to the Bahamas at the end of school with are son. The dates we are looking at going is May 28th thur June 2nd. Is this a good time go? are we still clear from the rain and hurricanes? If this isn't good we could go during the first week of April but our first choice is end of may. Your Thoughts, suggestions??

      Thank you for you help

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 8 months ago

      Hi, Ena. Bahamas in October is usually toward the end of the rainy season. Average high temperatures should be in the mid 80s Fahrenheit. October is neither one of the best or worst months to go. Good luck with the weather!

    • profile image

      Ena 8 months ago

      Hi promisem, i'm planning to go cruise with my son this coming October.. what do u think about the weather in Bahamas on mid-Oct.?

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 8 months ago

      Lisa, I don't have details about the Virgin Gorda weather in November, but I have it on Charlotte Amalie. It is only 35 miles away and a good indication of the average for Virgin Gorda.

      The average high temperature in November is 87 degrees Fahrenheit, which is good. But the average rainfall is more than 5 inches, which is not so good. That being said, you might get lucky and avoid much rain.

    • profile image

      Lisa W 8 months ago

      Does anybody know how virgin Gorda in the BVI's are in November?

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 8 months ago

      Hi, Nancy. My sources of information show that the Cook Islands are a bit on the cool side in October with an average high temperature of 78 degrees Fahrenheit. But October also is in the middle of the dry season.

    • profile image

      Xuan pang 8 months ago

      We have just booked a cruise to Eastern Caribbean for late August 2017. Reading about the hurricane season being in August and September has made me a bit worried. Has anyone been in August, how was the weather. Thanks x

    • profile image

      Nancy 8 months ago

      Hi Scott. Looking at taking a trip to the Cook Islands in October. What do you know about the area? Was looking at the Caribbean but I need sun and beach, I'm escaping the rain and snow of the mountains. Thanks!

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 8 months ago

      Lisa, the Caribbean is more than 1,000 miles across. So the odds are good that you will avoid the direct path of a hurricane that will ruin your cruise.

      I went on one cruise that had bad weather. We just made the most out of it by finding plenty of things to do and not spending as much time on the beach. Good luck!

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 8 months ago

      Hi, Lilah. I recommend Aruba. Even though rainfall is normally higher there in October, it's not as high as many other islands. The average of 3 inches in October low even for a normal month of other destinations.

    • profile image

      James 8 months ago

      We have booked a cruise from the UK to the Caribbean in Oct and are now worried about the rainfall we love the sun and was hoping by going to Antega, St Luisa, St Thomas & Barbados we would have good weather. Is it likely to be raining all the time?

    • profile image

      Lisa 9 months ago

      My family will go to the cruis in sep 5 coming

      I'm worry about the hurricane season

      Too late can't return the ticket

    • profile image

      Lilah Elg 9 months ago

      Hi Scott, me and my husband are planning a honeymoon which has to be on October (because that's the month on which we were given a vacation from work), now reading your info' about the weather on October, while taking into account we don't want to travel all that way for rain and storms, can you recommend on an island in the Caribbean which is a good destination on October?

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 9 months ago

      Hi, Lesley. That's a great point. The cruise lines actually reduce the number of cruises during that time of year because of bad weather.

      When they do offer cruises, it's because of demand for them and the odds that a tropical storm or hurricane won't go near them at that moment in time. Frankly, they also can't afford to have their ships to idle in ports without making money.

      Cruises are usually cheaper during September for the reasons you mention, which draws people searching for good deals. So a cruise then is a calculated risk for some people.

      I hope the weather goes in your favor.

    • profile image

      Lesley 9 months ago

      Hi.. I have booked a cruise for this Septeber .. Now panicking as the weather according to the reports worse time to go is September. Why would Cruises run this time of the year and take your money if it is that bad??

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 9 months ago

      Hi, Angela. All of those destinations are so close to each other that they will have similar water temperatures in December. I suggest you wait as long as possible before making a choice based on the daily weather forecasts for each. I STRONGLY suggest you plan on snorkeling in the mid afternoon when water temperatures reach their peak. Good luck and have fun!

    • profile image

      Angela Engele 9 months ago

      My family and friends are cruising to Cozumel, Mexico; Belize; Mahogany Bay, Isla Roatan; and Costa Maya, Mexico from December 18-26th. We are trying to determine which excursions to take, and wondered if anyone knew if one or the other of those ports (in December) would be the best to snorkel in. Will the water be too cold in all ports, or is there one or two where the water would be warmer than the others??

      I know this thread is an older one, but hope someone is still around to answer!!!

      Thanks,

      Angela

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 9 months ago

      Hi, Amber. Yes, go to the southern Caribbean during that time of year. Northern destinations such as Cancun or Turks and Caicos are often too cool for swimming. I recommend Aruba, St. Lucia or Grand Cayman. Enjoy your trip!

    • profile image

      Amber 9 months ago

      Hi,

      My husband and I are looking for a 3-4 day getaway for our 10 year anniversary which is in November of this year. We visited Playa del Carmen in April and had an amazing, relaxing time. Do you have any recommendations for November?

      Thanks,

      Amber

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 10 months ago

      Hi, Denise. Among the islands, I recommend Antigua or St. Maarten. Cancun is hit or miss. If you like all-inclusive resorts, Puerto Plata usually has a dry August. But of course there are no guaratees. It's just a matter of playing the odds. Good luck!

    • profile image

      Denise 10 months ago

      Which of the Caribbean islands other than the ABC's do you recommend for early to mid-August with the least amount of rainfall?

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 17 months ago

      Thanks, Faraway. If you lived in Key West, you certainly learned a lot about hurricanes!

    • profile image

      Louise 17 months ago

      Thank you, Scott.

      We might consider mid- late MArch, even though that is Easter, so I presume higer prices.

    • Farawaytree profile image

      Michelle Zunter 17 months ago from California

      Great hub! I used to live in Key West, Fl and only then did I have to learn about hurricane seasons!

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 18 months ago

      Hi, Louise. If you were taking a western Caribbean cruise to Belize, Costa Rica or even Cozumel and the Cayman Islands during May, I would suggest going another month.

      The brief rainy season I mentioned means more rain than average for some places, but it's not nearly as bad in the eastern Caribbean as the western.

      In the eastern Caribbean, St. Thomas, St. Maarten and Barbados have average rainfall in May. Antigua, San Juan and St. Lucia average about 4 inches, which is moderately higher than normal.

      The risk of rain is much the same throughout May, so which week you go shouldn't make much of a difference.

      Best of luck with your trip!

    • profile image

      Louise 18 months ago

      Hello Scott,

      Thank for your article.

      Can you expand on this please?

      "Caribbean weather in May includes a brief rainy season for many destinations".

      Is there any part of May that is worse than the other? We were hoping on going in April, but a work commitment for me, will mean I have to push it back, -so we are going to go early May, b/c of the weather. I want to go to the Eastern Caribbean. We are travelling from Australia so it is a big commitment, we will do a cruise to get a taste of it- Eastern Caribbean. Any advice? Thanks

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 18 months ago

      Thanks, Oliver. Enjoy your trip!

    • olivernguyen profile image

      olivernguyen 18 months ago

      Great tips, i going to Cuba soon ^^

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 18 months ago

      Thank you very much, Greenmind. I have been writing for a long time, so experience does help quite a bit.

    • greenmind profile image

      greenmind 18 months ago

      I travel to the Caribbean alot and I really like this article. I really appreciate the point of view! You are a really good writer, too. Hubpages could use more writers like you!

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 19 months ago

      Thanks, Melinda. We go there quite a bit, and over time I have found that planning for the best weather can make a big difference in how much we enjoy our trip.

    • profile image

      MelindaJGH 19 months ago

      What a great idea to explain which months are best for visiting Caribbean islands! My husband and I have visited in July in order to secure off-season rates, and we knew that Aruba is generally, dry, but we appreciate your in-depth article.

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 19 months ago

      Tonia, f you are a beach lover, both St. Thomas and St. Lucia are good choices.

      Othern than beaches, my wife and I like St. Thomas for the shopping and St. Lucia for the outdoor activities. If you go to St. Lucia, check out the Piton mountains, the volcanic mudbaths and the ATV rides along the coastline.

      Aruba and Grand Cayman also are good choices for their beaches and warm weather.

      Green Eyes Blondie, yes, Cuba counts as part of the Caribbean. I have Havana weather in my article charts. The island is so big that I had room only for Havana in my charts. It tends to be cooler than most destinations. Thanks for asking.

    • profile image

      greeneyedblondie 19 months ago

      What about Cuba? Does that count as part of the Caribbean?

    • profile image

      Tonia 19 months ago

      I found your article and love it! I'm traveling to Caribbean in December for the holidays. Its kinda hard to find the best island during that time. Knowing hurricane season is over is the biggest plus - im leaning towards St. Lucia or St Thomas. Im late getting started in my search but there still time. Just want to get away with my guy for a romantic Christmas vacation. We love beaches.

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 19 months ago

      I'm glad you find it helpful, PeachPurple. I hope you enjoy your trip.

    • peachpurple profile image

      peachy 19 months ago from Home Sweet Home

      thanks for stating the months and the charts, very helpful for those who are planning trips

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 19 months ago

      Thanks, Kamyanets. Welcome to HubPages.

    • kamyanets profile image

      kamyanets 19 months ago from Ukraine

      Very interesting article!

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 20 months ago

      LGP, July was a much better choice than late August through October. But you never know what might happen. We took a Bahamas cruise in May when the weather was supposed to be great and got hit with rain almost every day. Thanks for your comments!

    • ladyguitarpicker profile image

      stella vadakin 20 months ago from 3460NW 50 St Bell, Fl32619

      promisem, I suppose I was blessed I went for a week to the Bahamas the last week of July. The weather was great and so was the cruise. Great article.

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 21 months ago

      Daniel, thanks for your comment!

      Rawspirit, I'm glad to hear you are going to Aruba. I'm confident that any major snorkeling operator you choose will take you to the best places for snorkeling. I don't know about you, but in my experience a certain amount of luck is a factor in whether a snorkeling trip turns out well.

      Otherwise, I suggest shopping in Oranjestad in the morning, hitting Palm Beach in the afternoon and then dining on the Palm Beach strip at night.

      Definitely check out the Renassaince private island if you have a chance. It's worth the short boat trip to spend a day there at the two private coves.

      Interior natural attractions are so-so. California Lighthouse and natural bridges are OK. My son and I enjoyed the ATV adventure through Arikok National Park.

      Have a great trip!

    • the rawspirit profile image

      Robert Morgan 21 months ago from Hutchinson Island, FL - Myrtle Beach, SC - Scottsdale AZ

      Ok, we just booked a seven day scouting trip to Aruba. We had to use up some southwest miles, so we thought why wait till next year. We really want to get in some daily snorkeling. We still have not done a final booking on a room. If you have any suggestions, we would appreciate it. Otherwise, we will let you know how it turns out when we get back. Oh, last thing have you heard about the sargasso seaweed problem in the Caribbean? Thanks, Scott and blessings to you and your loved ones. Bobby

    • profile image

      daniel 21 months ago

      what a helpful article

    • the rawspirit profile image

      Robert Morgan 21 months ago from Hutchinson Island, FL - Myrtle Beach, SC - Scottsdale AZ

      OK, Scott, it looks like Aruba will be our place to go next summer. We really want to spend a month on a tropical island, where we can snorkel every day. It looks like Aruba has the least rain during the summer months. I still need to check out the best snorkeling spots on the island and find a good deal on a condo. Blessings, Bobby. Voted up again lol.

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 22 months ago

      Thanks, Rawspirit. We have been there many times.

    • the rawspirit profile image

      Robert Morgan 22 months ago from Hutchinson Island, FL - Myrtle Beach, SC - Scottsdale AZ

      Excellent Information... You can tell you have intimate knowledge of the Caribbean.

    • promisem profile image
      Author

      Scott Bateman 2 years ago

      Angie, Punta Cana historically sees a slight increase in rain during May, which is a brief and mild rainy season for many destinations in the Caribbean. The odds of rain in July are a bit lower.

      That said, the numbers are based on history and will vary from year to year, so there are no guarantees. Still, I would go with July because of better odds.

    • profile image

      Angie F 2 years ago

      Wanting to go to Punta Cana in End of May or Beginning of July. What do we need to be watchful of?

    Click to Rate This Article